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Posted by on in General

Key Bets & Races for Saturday, February 11

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Note: Please note post times races because the Tampa and Gulfstream races are grouped together

 

Suncoast Stakes - Race #8 at Tampa Bay Towns – Post Time 3:45 PM ET

 

Considering this year's Suncoast Stakes figures to be won by one of the two favorites, R Angel Katelyn or Elate, we can start a relatively inexpensive pick 3. I will be passing on a couple of lower odds horses in the next two legs to the risk may well be worth the reward. R Angel Katelyn has won four of five career starts, the most recent a similar non-graded stakes over the track around one turn. With the ability to be tactically placed first or second in the early stages on the stretch out and with the best last race Equibase Figure in the field to improve on, she could win again. Elate dominated in her debut in New York at the end of November, powering home to win by 12 lengths. She's bred to love the two turn tip she's trying for the first time and her three year old debut should be even better than the effort she put in that debut.

 

Pick 3:

Race 8 – R Angel Katelyn, Elate

Race 9 – Turbo Street, Coco Mon, Conquest Panthera

Race 10 – State of Honor, Fact Finding, Tapwrit, No Dozing

 

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Posted by on in General

Key Bets & Races for Saturday, February 4

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Swale Stakes - Race #5 at Gulfstream Park – Post Time 2:00 PM ET

There is a standout and a KEY bet in this race and it's is neither 7 to 5 morning line favorite Three Rules nor 8 to 5 morning line second choice Favorable Outcome. Three Rules favoritism is based on his four straight wins from July through October. Three of those were restricted races and following a sixth place finish in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile and a three month layoff I need to see how good he is as a three year old, particularly coming back at the tough distance of seven furlongs. Similarly, Favorable Outcome is going to be bet off his first two races last August and October, a six length maiden win and third place finish in the Champagne Stakes. He finished 12th in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf to finish his two year old campaign but even his best effort isn't a winning one here if Sonic Mule fires. 

Sonic Mule is the KEY BET in this year's Swale, opening at seven to two even though he gets John Velazquez for Pletcher and has won his last three races, the last two at Gulfstream. I love the cut back from a mile to seven furlongs off a nice off the pace win and his last two Equibase Figures (104 then 97) top the field already but he's likely to run a new career best effort here. 

Bet Sonic Mile to win at odds of 3 to 2 or more. 


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Posted by on in General

Key Bets & Races for Saturday, January 28

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California Cup Oaks - Race #5 at Santa Anita – Post Time 4:50 PM ET, 1:50 PT

The California Cup Oaks and the two races that follow offer some excellent betting action, both within the races and in the pick 3.

The favorite is Sircat Sally (9 to 5 morning line odds), who has earned both her wins leading from start to finish, the most recent at this mile trip but on dirt. Not only does the handicapping adage "Don't bet a horse at low odds trying something for the first time" apply here, but there are at least two horses stretching out from sprints who can easily deny the favorite the early lead she wants, particularly from the nine post. All that early heat sets up a trio of stalkers and closers nicely, starting with Bella Luma, who already has positive experience on turf, having rallied for second in the second start of her career, first on turf, at this mile trip. She won her next start, on an all-weather surface, by nine lengths, before an irrelevant try in the Jimmy Durante Stakes when debris appeared on the course, causing her and many of the others to check and lose all chance. Her most recent race, on dirt, is the one in which Sircat Sally coasted around the track in front and irrelevant, so she can easily bounce back to form good enough to win. 

Mi Pi Romancer ran very well when she tried turf for the first time in November, rallying for second in a field of 10. Next out, she led from start to finish but Prat knows from an outside post he must take her back and save ground today, so she is another that should be running on strongly late as the pacesetters and pressers tire. How About Zero tried turf just once, in the Jimmy Durante, and was also affected by the debris on the track. She finished far behind Sircat Sally last month but she did win a similar stakes for California breds before that from off the pace, showing she has the ability to take back early and come rolling late. 

Bet Bella Luma to win at odds of 5 to 2 or more. Add a place bet at 6 to 1 or higher. 

Consider a smaller win and place bet on How About Zero at odds of 9 to 2 or higher. 

Play an exacta of Bella Luma, How About Zero and Mi Pi Romancer over ALL.

Pick 3 for Santa Anita Races 5 through 7

Pick 3

Race 5: Bella Luma, How About Zero and Mi Pi Romancer

Race 6: Solid Wager, Well Measured and Jimmy Bouncer

Race 7: He Will, Ashleyluvssugar and Ralis

Cost at $1 is $27


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Bobby's Picks - Mahoning Valley

Bobby Fornaro

Race 1

Mizz Freebie - 2:1

Directioner - 6:1

Easter Light - 4:1

Race 2

Tiz Erins Night - 10:1

Ideal Quality - 5:2

Star Gazer - 5:1

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HorseWhisperer - Woodbine - January 23, 2017

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Not a good forecast for this evenings Woodbine card rain wind and snow. Here at www.horsewhispererusa.com we have compiled some solid plays for the 10 race card.

Pick 4/5 are seeded to the tune of 50k/40k

Plus the Super Hi 5 Jackpot has a 70k CARRYOVER.

Which can be played for 20 cents.

Drivers to watch who are in form: Mcnair, Cullen, Ballargeon.

Trainers: Moreau, Auciello, Allard.

123Racing Pick 6 Starts in Race 5!

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Posted by on in General

Key Bets & Races for Saturday, January 21

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Gulfstream Park – Race #9 – Post Time 4:03 PM

There is excellent value in the Pick 3 from races 9 through 11 as well as the Pick 4 ending in the Sunshine Million's Classic. There may also be some value in this race, a 7 1/2 furlong turf race for first level allowance types. The contenders here are Gentle Kitten, India Mantuana and What's in a Kiss and although they are the three favorites on the morning line it would be difficult to make a case that any of the other six can win. Gentle Kitten fits the condition perfectly off a maiden win last month over the course at the distance. Jose Ortiz was up for the win and rides again and the filly earned the best last race Equibase figure (94) in the field so with improving to do may move right through this first allowance level. India Mantuana finished second to a future stakes star in Bellavais when second in the Ginger Brew stakes on the course at the distance last month. She won two in a row on turf before that so fits on all counts. What's In a Kiss makes her U.S. debut after importing from France and moving into the sizzling hot Brown barn. Castellano gets on and she's been running well against tougher so would be no surprise BUT it must be noted her 2/1 starting odds are low given Browns 2 for 11 record with horses making their U.S. debuts in the past couple of years.

Bet Gentle Kitten to win at odds of 2 to 1 or more.

Of the tickets below, the preferred play is the first pick 3, singling (using only one horse) in race 10, along with the pick 4, which uses three horses in race 10. These two plays combine try to maximize profit. However, there is nothing wrong with the second pick 3 option along with the pick 4 if those amounts are within your budget.

Pick 3

Race 9: Gentle Kitten, India Mantuana, What's In A Kiss

Race 10: My Girl Corey

Race 11: Our Way, Class and Cash, Reporting Star, Go Around, Two Step Time

Cost at $1 is $15

Pick 3 (option 2)

Race 9: Gentle Kitten, India Mantuana, What's In A Kiss 

Race 10: My Girl Corey, True Pleasure, Tybalt's Queen

Race 11: Our Way, Class and Cash, Reporting Star, Go Around, Two Step Time

Cost at $1 is $45

Pick 4:

Race 9: Gentle Kitten, India Mantuana, What's In A Kiss 

Race 10: My Girl Corey, True Pleasure, Tybalt's Queen

Race 11: Our Way, Class and Cash, Reporting Star, Go Around, Two Step Time

Race 12: Tiger of Wales, Piloting, Awesome Slew

Cost at $0.50 is $67.50

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Posted by on in General

Key Bets & Races for Saturday, January 14

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Marshua's River Stakes - Race #6 at Gulfstream Park –Post Time 2:30 PM ET

Oddly enough, Dickinson didn't try turf until her eighth career start last September, but took to the sod like a duck takes to water, winning off by four lengths. Showing that to be no fluke, her next start was as easy of a win, with a career best 106 Equibase figure, just a few points from the 113 figures Isabella Sings earned winning a pair of similar Grade 3 stakes of the 110 figure Sandiva earned winning this race last year. Likely to be sitting off Isabella Sings in the early stages, Dickinson looks very capable of keeping her perfect record on turf intact, at decent odds, as she opens at 9 to 2. Sandiva (3/1 morning line), Isabella Sings (9/5 morning line)and Sea Coast (7/2 morning line) all must be considered contenders for exacta and trifecta tickets but the value for second lies in using Lobelia (20/1 morning line) and Elusive Million (12/1 morning line). Lobelia has run just 9 times on grass and has won five. Her last three races have yielded "A" efforts, the last two over the track and the most recent with Lanerie up and riding back. She'll be coming from last but passing a lot of these late. Elusive Million returned from four months off and made vast improving off her U.S. debut last month when second, Leparoux riding for the first time and back today. She's another likely to be in the middle of the track late and moving well.

Bet Dickinson to win at odds of 9 to 5 of more, a KEY BET on the day.

Play an exacta of Dickinson over Lobelia, Sandiva, Elusive Million, Sea Coast and Isabella Sings

Play a trifecta consisting of Dickinson over Lobelia and Elusive Million over Lobelia, Sandiva, Elusive Million, Sea Coast and Isabella Sings. (Cost is $4 at the $0.50 level)

Play a trifecta consisting of Dickinson over Lobelia, Sandiva, Elusive Million, Sea Coast and Isabella Sings over Lobelia and Elusive Million. (Cost is $4 at the $0.50 level)

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Roy Steele Horsewhispererusa.com takes in the 10 race card at Woodbine which includes the 123Racing Pick 6 (The wager alike to all handicapping competitions) starts in Race 6.

Weather is the key this evening last nights card was cancelled in early afternoon because of changing weather which included High Winds. Cooler weather has moved in around -5C. Post Time which is at 7.30pm.

Super Hi 5 Wager has a 16k Carryover.

Pk 4 is seeded to the tune of 50k

Pk 5 is seeded to the tune of 40k

All exotics have a 20 cent minium stake.

Drivers: Fillion McDonnel and Zeron are hitting the winners circle along with Trainers:- Fellows Cullen Allard.

4 Trots and 6 Pace Races plus one a Preferred contest make up the card, lots of value on offer folks!

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Harness racing has returned after it's mid-winter break at Woodbine Canada.

Some horses have continued racing at the provincial tracks while most have been working at home.

Woodbine has a seeded Pick 4 and Pick 5 50k and 40k respectivley.

123Racing Pick 6, the wager alike to all handicapping comps starts in Race 5. Use pick for win or combine with your other picks.

Drivers to watch: S.Fillion, T. Cullen.

Trainers to watch: R. Allard, P. Henriksen.

Weather has changed for the bitter cold of winter with POST TIME 7:30pm EST.

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Posted by on in General

Key Bets & Races for Saturday, January 7

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Ginger Brew Stakes - Race #9 at Gulfstream Park –Post Time 4:03 PM ET

In a wide open 12 horse field of three year old fillies going two turns on turf, there are TWO horses that are key to making a profit in my opinion. The first is Bellavais, who opens at 10/1, ridiculously high starting odds based on a more than decent (25% or so) probability to win. She has run three times and all three were solid efforts. The reason she opens at 10/1 is most likely she inherited her maiden win in her most recent start (11/9/16) via a disqualification. She's improved in every race, gets John Velazquez for the first time and has been working very well at Palm Meadows for her three year old debut. The other main contender is Party Boat, a stakes winner. She's won three races in a row, the first two her only two turf tries then the Wait a While Stakes (scheduled for turf but run on a sloppy main track) last month. Rosario rode her for the 1st time that day and rides back and she's another filly with a bright future and on a pattern for continued improvement. 

Bet Bellavais to win and place at odds of 5 to 2. 

Bet Party Boat to win at odds of 5 to 2 or more

Play an exacta of Bellavais over ALL and play the reverse exacta as well, which is ALL over Bellavais

Play an exacta consisting Party Boat over ALL

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Posted by on in General

Aqueduct - Jerome Stakes Day

Race 1

Goldenmeyer - 7/2

Ice Tea - 2/1

Magic Holiday - 4/1

Race 2

Tipit - 2/1

Stormin Stephen - 10/1

Dogtown - 5/1

Race 3

Kalabaka - 9/5

Myfourchix - 7/2

Catsadiva - 2/1

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Roy Steele www.horsewhispererusa.com wishes one and all a Happy New Year or as they say in Scotland..."Happy Hogmanay" Where New Years Eve is celebrated with passion and spirits and horseracing.

Tampa is an excellent venue with some nice horses on show you could say its an overflow for Gulfstream Park as some trainers will bring their horses down from GP to compete.

Reccommend Win on top selection then box for Ex and Tri plus use selections for the pick 3/4/5 etc.

Weather sunny but cool for this time of year 13C. Going is fast on the dirt and turf tracks.

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TAMPA BAY DOWNS - DEC. 31, 2016

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By John Pricci
Exclusively for 123bet.com

RACE 7: Allowances

TOP CONTENDERS:

AE VAGABOND (9-5) exits much faster races, tougher overall competition and was excellent second despite trouble in last; McGaughey profitable 21% with beaten favorites.

UNION ET FORCE (5-2) finished strongly too late following rough trip wen third in Laurel finale and probably was best. Proctor barn, 21% with shippers and LAY-3 scenarios, has come alive.

BOXED CONTENDERS:

YAHTZEE QUEEN (8-1) chased the pace and understandably tired late in local debut and hails from strong turf family; improvement expected.

BONITA (9-2) has been competitive with tough rivals in SoFla. Stewart barn is profitable with 90-days+ layups and with shippers (23%).

EXXIMIA (4-1) suffered through wide trip from extreme outside post in local debut; Correas is 3-for-9 this meet through Wednesday and profitable going turf to dirt and sprint to route.

EXOTICS CONTENDERS:

PUZZLED LOOK (5-1)

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Posted by on in General

Key Bets & Races for Saturday, December 31

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Laurel Park Pick 3 - Races 4 through 6 - Race 4 Post Time 2:00 ET

Pick 3:

Race 4: Irish War Cry
Race 5: ALL 11 horses
Race 6: Ms Locust Point

Cost: $5.50 (50¢ Pick 3)

With standouts in race 4, the Marylander Stakes and in race 6, The Gin Talking Stakes, this cheap pick 3 ticket (even if played for $1 or $2) could yield a much better profit than win bets on either of the two standouts.

In race 4, the Marylander Stakes, Irish War Cry sticks out based on his very mature win in his career debut last month over the track. He rallied from 9th of 12 to win going away by four lengths and he has improving to do off a field high 97 Equibase figure for the always strong (and red hot) Graham Motion barn.

In race 6, the Gin Talking Stakes, Ms Locust Point is as much of a standout. She finished 2nd of 12 in her debut in October after leading for the first half mile and was five lengths clear of the third horse. A little over a month later, Ms Locust Point romped by almost five lengths with gas left in the tank. She has put in two solid workouts since for excellent trainer Servis and leapfrogged over the horse that beat her first out (Squan's Kingdom, who earned a 76 figure in her win) by earning a very strong 85 figure last out, which is very likely to be improved on markedly here.

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Sunland Park - December 28, 2016

Race 1

Mooch 3/1

Lady Regina 8/5

Ruby Ann Who 8/1

Race 2

While i was away 4/1

Diabolical Excess 3/1

Blinglton Charlie 7/2

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Roy Steele www.horsewhispererusa.com on behalf of all involved bringing this handicapping blog to you...

SEASONS GREETINGS TO ALL OUR READERS!

Plenty of action on the Harness track before the break for Xmas.

We have a Super Hi 5 CARRYOVER of some 500k plus.... a nice gift in this season of giving.

The pool will be paid out regardless number of winners this evening.

This wager multiplies quickly.... as only if there is one winner can the pool be won. Not so this evening.

THE POOL MUST BE WON!

So a handicapper can give his selections but if more than one person wagers HIS selections normally the JACKPOT win becomes void. Not so this evening though. It must be won regardless of number of winning tickets.

All exotics have a 20 cent min. the Pick 4 and 5 are seeded 50k 40k respectivley.

12 Races on tap this evening with a total prize money of 287k. 3 Trot's and 9 Pacing contests.

123Racing Pick 6 The wager alike to all handicapping contests starts in Race 7.

Who's HOT

Trainers.... Allard, Cirasuola and Henriksen are flying high. Weather is going to be perfect for racing mild temps clear skies but this time of year can change quickly.

GOOD LUCK TO ALL  lets finish the year off with some outstanding returns.

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LATE PICK 4 - LAUREL RACE COURSE - DECEMBER 24, 2016

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By John Pricci
Exclusively for 123bet.com

RACE 6 - Claiming - 1-1/16 Miles

GOLDEN GLINT (3-1): is 6-for-17 here, 1-for-11 elsewhere, and is a 4-time winner at the trip. Eppler has been white hot recently and is 2-for-4 with Toledo of late.

SCORCH (4-1): hasn’t started since January now makes first start for Michael Dickinson, legendary with long layups--40% effective in that scenario this year. Has been competitive with better than he meets here.

I CAME TO PARTY (12-1): was a game second in Delaware two-turner two starts back then tried stakes sprinters at Delta last out, albeit around two turns; back to reality here and owns (4) 2-2-0 record at the trip.

AFLEET WILLY (4-1): gelded 3YO is racing in career form, loves the strip and handles this trip; Carrasco aboard for three-back win.

EXOTICA: Monkey’s Medal (10-1), 10-Street Spice (10-1)

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Posted by on in General

Key Bets & Races for Monday, December 26

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San Simeon Stakes - Race #6 at Santa Anita – Post Time 2:31 PM PT, 5:31 ET

He Will and Holy Lute are winners at the trip and both are drawn well with advantageous outside posts. He Will gets slight preference as he opens at 6/1. He won at the trip in his only try in May and on the cut back from two turns to one (off a pair of wins) gives him a big amount of late energy so he should be rolling past the field late. That's exactly what Holy Lute did in September when winning the Eddie D Stakes down the hill at 10/1. He was overmatched in the Breeders' Cup Turf Sprint but back where proven has every right to resume his winning ways. 

Betty's Bambino won 4 in a row when last seen 22 months ago, all downhill sprints, and has been working well. Cape Wolfe may go to post near his 15/1 starting odds and is very playable as he finished 2nd in last year's San Simeon at 9/2. Ohio got crowded badly in the stretch in the Eddie D when last seen, well regarded at 7/2. We can ignore that race and so he's got a fine shot. As for exotic bets like the exacta and trifecta, in a deep field in which a decent exacta ticket may be worth the risk, also consider Stormy Liberal, Acceptance and Richard's Boy for 2nd and 3rd. 

Bet He Will and Holy Lute to win at odds of 5 to 2 or more.

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Horsewhisperer - Woodbine

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We're up in the land of Snow folks! Roy Steele www.horsewhispererusa.com brings you selections from a competitive card this evening, lots of cheer in the morning line.

Seeded Pick 4 and Pick 5 50k and 40k Respectively.

No Super Hi 5 Wager this evening its been frozen till tomorrow evening where it must be paid out.

Watch this space for full coverage of tomorrow's JACKPOT CARD OVER HALF A MILLION BUCKERROS UP FOR GRABS....first five home min wager all exotics 20 cents.

123Racing Pick 6 goes this evening the WAGER which is alike to all handicapping comps. Race 5 is the starting race.

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ROY STEELE www.horsewhispererusa.com comes south to Turfway Park just inside Kentucky and just outside of Cinncinnatti.

,p>We have been pounding the windows at Woodbine with the Harness racing. Time to spread the wealth.The 123Racing Pick 6 starts in Race 4.

Do recommend Win top selection each race then Box all Three Selections each race for Ex and Tri.

It will be cold and the weather is unstable tough card to handicap its identifying the type of horse and connections that can perform in this kind of climate and conditions.

Go Get em Good Luck to one and all!!!!

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