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Betting with Ellis Starr - Black-Eyed Susan Day 2017

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Key Bets for Friday, May 19

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Black Eyed Susan Stakes - Race #11 at Pimlico – Post Time 4:50 PM ET

Shimmering Aspen may have a huge edge in the pace department in this year's Black Eyed Susan Stakes as she was lucky enough to draw the rail. There are only a couple of other horses in the field that have shown a desire to lead early in the race but they won't have a chance here as she stretches out from sprints and can run faster than any of these early but still well within her limits. If any other horse decides to try to go with Shimmering Angel they will compromise their own chances so I am doubtful any trainer will instruct a jockey to do so and that leaves Shimmering Angel alone on the front end. Her last race Equibase speed figure of 95 is the 2nd best in the field already and she's making her 3rd start off a layoff, often a peak in a horse's form cycle, so we should expect an even better effort.

Tapa Tapa Tapa, Lights of Medina, Moana, Actress and Yorkiepoo Princess all have run races with speed figures in the same range as the top pick and can't completely be ruled out as win contenders but may be at a disadvantage to a lone frontrunner like Shimmering Aspen.

Bet Shimmering Angel towin at odds of 2 to 1 or more.

Play an exacta of Shimmering Angel over Tapa Tapa Tapa, Lights of Medina, Moana, Actress and Yorkiepoo Princess 

Play the reverse of those exactas as well, using Shimmering Angel in the second position, but for a smaller amount.


Be sure to follow along with the Preakness Day Best Bets blog to build your BES/Preakness Daily Double

Join Ellis Starr on 123bet and receive $10 FREE when you sign up with Promo Code BetWithEllis.

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Guest Monday, 17 December 2018
 
 
 
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