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John Pricci's Weekend Warrior - December 17, 2016

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TAMPA BAY DOWNS - LATE PICK 4 ANALYSIS - DEC. 17, 2016

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By John Pricci
Exclusively for 123bet.com

Race 7: Claiming - 7 Furlongs

SEA TREATY (8-1): goes second off the layup, turf to dirt and route to sprint, good percentage and profitable moves for Gonzalez. Two-time winner at 7F and over surface, reunites with winning rider Scott Spieth.

SCHADDEI (6-1): was nailed in the last jump at 1 mile 40 yards last Saturday at this level and DaCosta is 22% profitable with turnbacks and De La Cruz takes the re-ride.

W W CONCERTO (5-2): turns back into sprint and notch a notch for Johns, who’s runners have been live at meet thus far and is profitable with shippers and with second-starters off the claim. Switch to Ron Allen, who won for the barn earlier this meet.

SPANISH PROSPECTOR (12-1): EILLO (10-1) and TALE STONE (10-1) all offer exotics value.

Race 8: LIGHTNING CITY STAKES - 5F - TURF

CATCHING FIREFLIES (12-1) is a five-time turf sprint winner making course debut with Centeno for the Delacour-improved mare. Style suits speedy dynamics and offers great value at early line odds.

PUNTSVILLE (15-1) is back in turf sprint where she’s compiled a (3) 1-2-0 slate. Spots experience to most of these but has won fresh and worked bullet half-mile in 46 3/5 Dec. 9, the fastest of 79 peers to work that week. Attracts Del La Cruz and Boyce a profitable 32% effective in non-graded stakes. 

EVERYTHING LOVELY (3-1) won course debut here Nov. 26 for DeMasi, who has three wins at the meet through Wednesday, and four of this 4YOs five wins have come at this trip. Ferrer takes a return call on filly returning on relatively short rest.

SOUTHERN RING (6-1) RICHIES SWEETHEART (6-1) and COME TO MISCHIEF (30-1) are worthy exotics inclusions.

Race 9: Allowances/Optional Claiming - 7 Furlongs

SONOMA CRUSH (5-2) makes long awaited return for Stonestreet with barn change to Delacour and has been getting ready for this since September. Won his debut so layoff not a concern, physical issues notwithstanding, attracts leading rider Centeno and barn is profitable in 2016 and 21% effective with 90-days+ layups.

DITKA (3-1) is half-million purchase still seeking first-allowance condition after 7 starts. Broke his maiden over this track at 6-1/2 furlongs last April. Has worked strongly here for first start since Oct. 12 and attracts strong-finishing Del La Cruz.

FINANCIAL FREEDOM (8-1) makes first start for Gerald Bennett, a profitable scenario, and is winning at an unbelievable 48% rate this meet. Gets switch to high-percentage rider Edwin Gonzalez and barn is 22% winning off 90-days+ layups.

Fast workers PERFECT EXECUTION (12-1) and PLENTY ELUSIVE (12-1) merit super-exotics inclusion at early line odds or greater.

Race 10: Claiming - 1 Mile - Turf

GOING BOLD (6-1) takes significant drop to winning level in second start off a brief layup, both lifetime wins have come on this course and gets switch to aggressive Bocachica, a winner in three recent rides for Rigattieri who’s 28% efficient with LAY-2 runners.

EYE OF RA (4-1) overcame rough start, coming from last of 10 to win recent course return, the scene of both her lifetime victories. Colebrook has been profitable with his repeaters and Declan Cannon, profitable on grass, takes the return call. Filly 3YO back in 10 days.

JUST ME GAME (3-1) takes meaningful drop in second start at the N3L level for O’Connell, having her usual good meet here and profitable with this type of spacing and reunites with winning partner Wilmer Garcia.

ZOUZOU (9-2) has been competitive at this level in the Delaware Valley, also has good spacing, and reunites with Centeno, aboard for the win on Aug. 3.

TEACUP TWIRL (7-2) made promising turf debut at this level at Indiana in late October and might be perfectly spotted by Granitz vs these while making Oldsmar debut.


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