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Subscribe to this list via RSS Blog posts tagged in Late Pick 4

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By John Pricci
Exclusively for 123bet.com

Saratoga - Late Pick 4 - August 20, 2016

COMMENTS FROM AUGUST 6 P4 AT SARATOGA, NOTABLE WINNERS & MONEY FINISHERS

RACE 8: Grade 1 TEST STAKES 3YO F 7 FURLONGS

Poala Queen (20-1): tried the G1 Kentucky Oaks and Acorn to no avail in last two starts and while likely appreciating the cut back, this group appears to too tough for breakthrough performance.

Lightstream (8-1): earned field’s co-fastest figure breaking maiden at the trip in GP debut followed by win in 7F G3 Beaumont at KEE. Third in recent G1 Mother Goose, Lynch barn profitable with turnbacks and is major threat with a return to winter-spring form.

RACE 9: Grade 3 WAYA STAKES F&M 1-1/2 MILES INNER TURF

Guapaza (5-2): has been highly competitive on T-G scale in three New York appearances, albeit not so much on PER scale. Chad 28% effective with potential repeaters and winning rider Javier takes the return call.

Al’s Gal (20-1): earned top PER when fast-closing, tough-trip second in G3 Bewitch three back and was third again in G3 Modesty at AP last out. Highly competitive on both T-G and PER scales and looms stark overlay at early line odds.

RACE 10: The Grade 1 WHITNEY STAKES 3 & UP 1-1/8 MILES

Frosted (3-5): earned the highest figure ever recorded, according to Thoro-Graph’s Jerry Brown and must regress off that effort. But despite weight assignment (124 pounds), there’s plenty of wiggle room. Returns with good spacing, loves the trip (4) 2-2-0 and highly competitive albeit winless on this surface.

Comfort (8-1): hails from Todd barn that has very good record in this race. Rapidly improving 4YO is straight forward on figures, is nicely drawn with Johnny, and rates a puncher’s chance. Need at least early odds vs. this group.

RACE 11: DE LA ROSE STAKES F&M 1 MILE INNER TURF

Lady Lara (8-1): has always been promising turf mare but has disappointed often; finished willingly in rapidly run G1 Just A Game and drop just might be what Mott ordered.

SARATOGA LATE PICK 4 - AUGUST 20, 2016

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b2ap3_thumbnail_John-Pricci.png
By John Pricci
Exclusively for 123bet.com

Saratoga - Late Pick 4 - August 6, 2016

Comments from July 30 P4 at SARATOGA, notable winners & money finishers

RACE 8 - ALLOWANCES | 1-3/16 MILES - MELLON TURF

Ray’s The Bar (3-1) showed high promise in first two starts as 2015 juvenile but so far has failed to show added development at 3. Chad 24% in LAY-3 scenario, may come around reuniting with Javier. (WON: $8.60)

Idiosyncratic (6-1) finished well after the fact last time out, his first start since 2014, but was away again since April appearance. Chad 27% effective with 90-days+ layups and Irad a profitable 30% for this barn last two months, winning with 4 of last 11 rides. (2ND, EX: $53)

RACE 9 - Grade 1 VANDERBILT HANDICAP | 3&UP | 6 FURLONGS

A.P. Indian (5-1) comes off consecutive sharp scores going seven-eighths, including G3 Belmont Sprint Championship. Sharp blowout for streaking Delacour barn having career season and Bravo, looking to make it three straight, on board. (WON: $1.40)

Holy Boss (9-2) is effective when patiently handled but has proven inconsistent sort. True North third gets Johnny on the re-ride, loves the Spa and Asmussen has been live at meet thus far; nicely posted. (EX: $58)

RACE 10 - Grade 2 JIM DANDY STAKES | 3YO | 1-1/8 MILES

Laoban (20-1) had fastest recent blowout of 130 peers last week on this surface. Given that, and switch to Jose Ortiz, Guillot appears intent on the lead. Still winless in seven lifetime starts. (WON: $56)

Governor Malibu (9-2) has steadily improving PERs since taking state-bred stakes on Aqueduct Inner this winter. Good-finish Peter Pan runnerup was victimized by tough trip in Belmont. Has worked his way—literally—into this race and gets along well with Joel. (EX: $269.50)

RACE 11 - Maiden Claiming | F&M | 1-16 MILES - INNER TURF

Newcomb (8-1) drops into claimer for the first time for Proctor, a 23% angle, has trained steadily (missing work Jul 19?) at Fair Hill base and picks up Geroux; Looks like live ship-in. (WON: $8.80)

Smile Big (3-1) never has raced this cheaply for Chad, whose dropdowns have been hot and colt at meet thus far. Showed improved early speed when adding blinkers for MTH finale; drop and switch to Irad for logical, formidable early favorite. (EX: $29.40)


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b2ap3_thumbnail_John-Pricci.png
By John Pricci
Exclusively for 123bet.com

Saratoga - Late Pick 4 - July 30, 2016

Comments from July 23 P4 at SARATOGA, notable winners & money finishers

RACE 8 - Allowance Optional Claiming | 1 Mile - INNER TURF

Our Way (6-1): ran well in recent salty spots after being victimized by a series of bad trips dating back to January at GP. Has some tactical speed and pole position with switch to Jose Ortiz indicates switch to close-range tactics. (Win: $22.00)

Tizzarunner (12-1): was a tough trip second in turf debut this winter, a listed stakes, indicative of confidence from Casse shed. Takes meaningful for barn that’s profitable 21% effective with second-time turfers. (Ex: $150.00)

Hockey School (8-1): raced wide following troubled start in last after breaking maiden by open lengths previously over yielding ground. Has five works since his last, switches to Rosario, and bred to improve given today’s two-turn dynamic. (Tri: $1,776)

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